This presentation details the POLES model’s features, geographical and sectoral coverage, and sample simulations. The POLES model, or Prospective Outlook on Long-term Energy Systems, is an internationally recognized techno-economic model for projecting the supply and demand of energy commodities, energy prices, as well as the impact of climate change and energy policies on energy markets. The simulation occurs on a year-to-year basis, with endogenous projection of energy prices. It provides a complete accounting of energy demand/supply of numerous energy vectors, associated technologies and greenhouse gases emissions and enables to customize and model possible carbon constraints levels, energy resources or technological assumptions.
Cross-Cutting Tools
IAEA’s Tool for Energy Supply System Assessment MESSAGE Modelling Framework
This presentation provides an overview of the MESSAGE model, which offers a flexible framework for modelling, analysis, and assessment of energy systems and the design of energy policies. The presentation covers what the model can do, its key model outputs, and how it can be used for scenario development.
Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning (LEAP) System: Training Materials
This website provides a suite of frequently updated training materials on the Long range Energy Alternatives Planning (LEAP) System model, which is a widely-used software tool for energy policy analysis and climate change mitigation assessment. The following training materials made available on this website are for those who want to study independently: general purpose training materials on LEAP; training exercises on basic techniques used in a greenhouse gas mitigation assessment; training exercises for integrated water and energy planning; and additional user-contributed materials.
EFFECT (Energy Forecasting Framework and Emissions Consensus Tool): Low Carbon Development
This e-learning course has six modules that can be taken together or separately. They introduce you to climate change mitigation, explore the concepts surrounding low carbon development planning on an economy-wide basis and take a detailed look at what this means in the power and transport sectors and for household electricity use. For those interested in modeling, the course discusses the development of reference and low carbon scenarios out to 2030 and beyond, the stakeholders that need to be involved and the data that is required to develop credible projections. A downloadable copy of the EFFECT model (Energy Forecasting Framework and Emissions Consensus Tool), developed initially for low carbon modeling work in India and used in a number of other countries since, is provided. The course also provides step-by-step instructions on how to use the EFFECT model.
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EnergyPLAN: Training [Webpage]
This webpage describes the EnergyPLAN model, designed to analyse the energy, environmental, and economic impact of various energy strategies. The key objective is to model a variety of options so that they can be compared with one another, rather than model one ‘optimum’ solution based on defined pre-conditions. Using this model it is possible to illustrate a palette of options for the energy system, rather than one core solution. This could classify EnergyPLAN as a ‘simulation’ tool rather than an optimisation tool, even though there is some optimisation within the model. It typically takes approximately two weeks to learn how to use the basic functions of the EnergyPLAN tool. EnergyPLAN can be divided into two primary sections: The technical design of the energy system; and the cost of all the components in the energy system.
AIM: AIM/Trend Manual: A Model for Assessing Environmental Loads for Asia-Pacific Countries – User’s Manual
This manual provides an introduction to the structure of the AIM/Trend model based on Energy data from the International Energy Agency (IEA) and United Nations (UN). This manual also describes how to use the model to project future environmental trends.
AIM: AIM (Asia-Pacific Integrated Model) approach
This presentation provides an overview of AIM as a model for quantified low carbon society (LCS) assessment, which touches on all sectors, including energy. It includes examples of analysis by AIM in Japan, illustrating how to use LCS study results in the real world.
2050 Calculator: LEDS Global Partnership 2050 Calculator Webinar
This presentation introduces the 2050 Calculator, an interactive tool that allows experts and non-experts alike to explore different energy and emissions scenarios out to 2050. DECC developed the 2050 Calculator to model the UK, but its flexible structure can be modified to take into account structural differences between the UK and other economies. Already the 2050 Calculator has helped teams in China, South Korea and Taiwan adapt the methodology to fit their reality. This webinar outlines the calculator can be used to examine the trade-offs and different options associated with greenhouse gas mitigation, and provides an overview of how DECC is working with other countries to enable them to develop their own version of the calculator.